The job: predict attendance well enough to plan a panel
A hiring manager blocks four hours. A recruiter fills the slots. On the day, half the candidates appear. The calculation this page describes exists to make that second number predictable, so the panel is booked against expected attendance rather than against optimism.
How it is done today
Most desks estimate. A senior recruiter says to always call double, and that rough multiplier survives for years without anyone checking it against the roles it is applied to. Confirmations happen on WhatsApp, replies are scanned rather than recorded, and the outcome of each slot lives in a scheduling email nobody re-reads.
The second common version is a tally sheet on the day of the drive: names ticked as people arrive, the sheet photographed, and the photo lost. It captures attendance but not the conditions that produced it, so the rate can never be sliced by anything useful.