New York runs two manufacturing economies at once
Upstate, the work is production. Optics and photonics around Rochester, precision machining and metals in the Buffalo and Niagara corridor, instrumentation through the Southern Tier and Central New York, and a growing semiconductor supply chain in the Capital Region. These customers buy repeat parts against tolerance classes, inspection requirements and quantity breaks, and the relationship is with an engineer and a buyer at a company that will still be there next year.
Downstate, the work is projects. Architectural metal, millwork, glazing components, food production, signage and specialty fabrication sold through general contractors, architects, construction managers and public awarding authorities. Here a deal has a bid date, addenda, alternates, exclusions, submittals, a schedule driven by other trades and retention held long after the last delivery.
Plenty of shops do both. The mistake is running both through one pipeline. The stages do not match, the quote fields do not match, and the resulting forecast is wrong in two directions simultaneously.